Method of moments estimators
Recall:
- "moments" of a distribution are
E[X], E[X^2], E[X^3], ...
, population or "distribution" moments. u = E[X]
is a probability weighted average of the values in a population.Xbar
is the average of the values in the sample.
Method of moments estimators (MMEs) equate the population and sample moments and solve for the unknown parameters.
The kth population moment:
u sub k = E[X^k], k > 0
The kth sample moment:
M sub k = 1/n sum(i=1 to n) (X sub i)^k, k > 0
Example
X1, X2, ..., Xn iid ~ exp(rate = lambda)
first population moment: E[X] = 1/lambda # if you have multiple params use
# higher order moments
first sample moment: 1/n sum(i=1 to n) Xsubi = Xbar
equate:
1/lambdahat = Xbar
=> lambdahat = 1/Xbar
This MME is not unbiased, but you can calculate the difference between it's expected value and lambda and then update the equation to compensate for that difference:
E[lambdahat] = n/n-1 lambda # not unbiased
E[n-1/n * 1/Xbar] = lambda # unbiased
lambdahat <- n-1/sum(i=1 to n)Xsubi